Trial Cost Forecasting · EU MDR & ISO 14155

Know what your trial will actually cost before the first feasibility round.

Most cost overruns in medical device trials are not budget surprises. They are preventable costs decided on rules of thumb before real costing. Eclevar forecasts cost, sites and recruitment up front, itemising site grants, CRO effort and pass-through costs so your EU MDR budget is defensible before it becomes a binding commitment.

Site-grant benchmarks CRO effort by role Pass-through itemisation Recruitment P10/P50/P90 Swift · Base · Conservative
Clinical operations team reviewing a medical device trial budget and recruitment forecast before the feasibility round Benchmarked · 7 years of data

A forecast built by the team that runs the trials, not a sales quote.

Country-specific site tariffs, CRO effort priced per role and hour, and full pass-through costs, benchmarked on the delivery data behind the MILO platform that won the Platinum Award at the xShare & EUCROF 2026 Open Call.

Co-funded by the European Union

Horizon Europe · Grant Agreement No. 101136734 · Amsterdam, 2 Feb 2026

50+EU MDR device programmes delivered
7 yrsOf benchmarked delivery data
3Scenarios: Swift, Base, Conservative
PlatinumxShare EUCROF Award 2026
Social proof

Trusted by global MedTech manufacturers.

Device leaders across cardiovascular, orthopaedics, wound care and more choose Eclevar. Read all client success stories.

TERUMO Meril NIHON KOHDEN VYGON Coloplast SHOFU ASAHI INTECC RegenLab TERUMO Meril NIHON KOHDEN VYGON Coloplast SHOFU ASAHI INTECC RegenLab
Definition

What is clinical trial cost forecasting?

Clinical trial cost forecasting is the disciplined estimation of what a medical device investigation will really cost, and how long it will take to recruit, produced before the design is locked and the budget is approved.

A real forecast is more than a CRO quote. It brings together three drivers that most quotes surface too late: country-specific site grants, CRO effort priced per role and hour, and the pass-through costs such as ethics and IRB fees, courier, customs and device kit shipment. It anchors the recruitment timeline to historical site performance rather than investigator optimism, then expresses the result as a range, not a single reassuring number.

This matters because of a regulatory trap. Under EU MDR Article 62 and Article 74, a PMCF or clinical investigation plan submitted to a Notified Body becomes a binding financial and operational commitment. If the true cost only appears after CE marking, redesign is expensive and often impossible, and the overrun is absorbed or a second indication is sacrificed.

Eclevar forecasts cost the way it delivers trials, as one connected service across the clinical investigation lifecycle, so the budget you approve before feasibility is the budget your data and monitoring plan can actually deliver.

Dr Mark DaCosta, COO at Eclevar MedTech and former TÜV SÜD Notified Body reviewer
Dr Mark DaCosta COO · Former Notified Body reviewer Former reviewer at TÜV SÜD
Regulatory leadership

A budget is only credible if the design behind it holds up.

A number is only as good as the protocol it prices. Eclevar's model puts the regulatory perspective inside the forecast: Dr Mark DaCosta, COO and former TÜV SÜD reviewer, pressure-tests methodology defensibility, endpoint hierarchy, sample size justification and amendment risk, so the design you cost is one a Notified Body will accept, and the sites and recruitment behind it are realistic. That closes the gap between a hopeful budget and a defensible one, from the first protocol version.

400+Studies delivered across Europe
Ex NBFormer TÜV SÜD reviewers on the team
100%In-house clinical delivery
Former NB reviewers EU MDR Annex XIV ISO 13485 certified
LinkedIn
Compliant with EU MDR 2017/745 ISO 14155:2026 MDCG 2020-7 ISO 13485 21 CFR Part 11 GDPR
Why forecast early

A CRO quote on rules of thumb versus a real, itemised forecast.

The number you approve before feasibility decides whether the trial is affordable, or whether the overrun surfaces once the design is already a regulatory commitment. The gap between an opaque quote and an integrated forecast is structural.

Opaque CRO quote

Costs that surface too late.

  • Site grants excludedor applied as a rough 0.8× CRO multiplier rather than real tariffs.
  • Pass-through costs hidden,surfaced mid-execution as courier, customs, IRB and ethics fees.
  • Recruitment on PI optimism,anchored to memory, not historical site performance.
  • One reassuring number,no worst-case envelope for the board.
  • Costed after the PMCF plan is a binding commitment.
Eclevar MedTech

Integrated, itemised, defensible.

  • Country-specific site tariffsfrom a live, benchmarked European database.
  • Full pass-through itemisationevery line priced up front, nothing left to discover.
  • Recruitment as a range,P10/P50/P90 anchored to seven years of delivery data.
  • Swift, Base and Conservativescenarios so the board sees a credible worst case.
  • Costed before feasibility,while the design is still free to change.
Cost drivers

What actually drives the number, line by line.

A defensible forecast breaks the budget into the drivers that move it most, then models each one against benchmarked data rather than a single blended rate.

01

Site grants by geography

Per-patient and per-site tariffs vary widely across France, Germany, the UK, Italy, Spain and Eastern Europe, tied directly to your feasibility and site selection.

02

CRO effort by role & hour

Project management, monitoring, clinical trial administration, biostatistics and medical writing, each priced per role and hour rather than hidden in a blended total.

03

Pass-through costs

Ethics and IRB fees, courier, customs and device kit shipment, fully itemised so they never appear as a mid-execution surprise.

04

Recruitment duration

The single largest source of overrun. Modelled as P10/P50/P90 against historical site start-up and enrolment data, not PI estimates.

05

Data & monitoring load

eCRF build, data management and monitoring effort scale with duration and site count, so a longer trial silently costs more on every line.

06

Regulatory & endpoint scope

Endpoint hierarchy, HTA dossier and payer work set the scope, mapped early through EU MDR strategy before the design is locked.

What you receive

A forecast you can take to the board.

One accountable team parses your plan and returns parallel cost, site and recruitment forecasts, each in three scenarios, so budgeting, feasibility and regulatory review are all built on the same numbers.

01

Parallel cost, site & recruitment forecasts

We parse your PMCF plan or synopsis and return three linked forecasts, so a change to sites or feasibility reflows the budget and timeline together.

02

Swift, Base & Conservative scenarios

Every forecast in three scenarios: a lean registry-led Swift design, a realistic full-scope Base, and a Conservative worst-case envelope with intensive monitoring and full HTA.

03

Recruitment confidence intervals

P10/P50/P90 enrolment ranges anchored to historical site performance, so the timeline reflects reality, not a single optimistic assumption.

04

Fully itemised budget

CRO line items priced per role and hour, country-specific site tariffs and full pass-through breakdown, backed by our ISO 13485 quality system.

05

Design & endpoint review

A former Notified Body reviewer checks methodology, endpoint hierarchy and amendment risk so the clinical evidence the budget buys will hold up.

06

Regulatory & RWE strategy

Costed options for equivalence, registry-based real world evidence and CE pathways, mapped through EU MDR strategy.

Two cautionary tales · Why forecast first

The overruns that were preventable.

The post-CE commitment trap. A cardiovascular sponsor locked its PMCF plan as a regulatory commitment before any real cost modelling, with the envelope set on rules of thumb. The first CRO quote excluded site fees, and the final cost ran to several times the original budget. Because the plan was already binding, redesign was impossible: the overrun was absorbed and a second indication launch was sacrificed.

The recruitment forecast trap. A wound care sponsor's protocol assumed 24-month enrolment across 12 sites; investigators estimated 28 months. A conservative, data-anchored forecast would have flagged 84 to 108 months. Recruitment slipped badly, a competitor captured the market window, and the trial published too late to be commercially viable. A realistic feasibility forecast would have surfaced that risk before the design was fixed.

The lesson: both costs were preventable. Forecasting cost, sites and recruitment before the first feasibility round keeps the design free to change while it still can.

BeforeCosted before feasibility, not after
ItemisedSite grants and pass-through in full
RangedRecruitment as P10/P50/P90
Why Eclevar MedTech

What makes the difference.

NB

Notified Body intelligence

Former Notified Body reviewers from TÜV SÜD. We cost the design a Notified Body will actually accept, so the budget is not built on a protocol that fails.

IH

100% in-house delivery

Clinical ops, writing and data management under one roof. The team that quotes the trial is the team that runs it.

DB

Benchmarked rate cards

Country-specific site tariffs and CRO rates drawn from seven years of European delivery data, not generic assumptions.

MC

Multi-corridor presence

Paris, London, Tokyo and Pune. In-house CRAs in seven countries give the forecast real, local site cost and recruitment data.

EU

Ranked #1 CRO in Europe

Platinum Award winner, EUCROF 2026, ranked first for clinical innovation and data strategy.

SP

Senior principals, no account layer

You talk directly to the COO and head of clinical operations, not an account manager reading a template quote back to you.

Global presence

Five offices, in-house CRAs across seven countries.

A network of employed CRAs and project leads, not subcontractors, gives every forecast real site-grant and recruitment data across the EU, the UK and Japan corridors.

ParisHQ
LondonUKCA corridor
TokyoPMDA corridor
Pune, IndiaTech & data ops
FranceGermanyUnited KingdomItalySpainSwedenDenmarkJapanBrazilColombia
Official content

Our content, signed Eclevar.

Whitepapers, client testimonials and publications produced by our teams and partners (BSI, TÜV SÜD, RegenLab).

Whitepaper by BSI and Eclevar on the EU MDR
Whitepaper · BSI × Eclevar

A BSI and Eclevar whitepaper on the EU MDR.

Written with Notified Body BSI: a practical reading of the clinical evidence expectations under EU MDR 2017/745, the scope decisions that set the size, and therefore the cost, of any high risk device programme.

PMCF Studies · Regenerative Medicine · 5 EU Countries

A client's live testimonial on Eclevar's capability to run complex trials.

Eclevar manages RegenLab's PMCF programme on chronic wound devices. This is a randomized study of 160 patients across 14 sites in 5 EU countries, covering both diabetic foot ulcer (DFU) and venous leg ulcer (VLU) indications. The partnership combines Eclevar's ISO 14155 clinical expertise with the Milo Studio platform to deliver post-market clinical follow-up evidence that supports both Notified Body scrutiny and reimbursement endpoints, from protocol design through to final study report.

« Eclevar, with its tailor-made approach and advanced Milo Studio platform, represents a major strategic asset. »
Antoine Turzi, CEO, RegenLab
160patients · 14 sites
5EU countries
RegenLab video testimonial on the PMCF programme managed by Eclevar
FAQ

Questions sponsors ask about trial cost.

Why do medical device trial budgets overrun so often?

Most overruns are not surprises, they are preventable. They come from budgets set on rules of thumb before real costing: CRO quotes that exclude site grants, pass-through costs surfaced mid-execution, and recruitment timelines anchored to investigator optimism rather than historical site performance. By the time the true number appears, the PMCF plan is often already a binding commitment to the Notified Body.

What are the main cost drivers of an EU MDR clinical trial?

Four dominate: site grants, which vary widely across France, Germany, the UK, Italy, Spain and Eastern Europe; CRO effort priced per role and hour across project management, monitoring, data management, biostatistics and medical writing; pass-through costs such as ethics and IRB fees, courier, customs and device kit shipment; and recruitment duration, which multiplies monitoring and management cost when it slips.

Why estimate cost before the first feasibility round?

Once a PMCF plan or clinical investigation design is submitted under EU MDR Article 62 or Article 74, it becomes a financial and operational commitment that is expensive to redesign. Forecasting cost, sites and recruitment before feasibility lets you right-size the protocol, choose countries deliberately and set a credible budget while the design is still free to change.

How accurate are recruitment timeline forecasts?

Investigator estimates are consistently optimistic, so a realistic forecast is anchored to historical site performance, not PI memory. Eclevar models recruitment as a range with P10, P50 and P90 confidence intervals and Swift, Base and Conservative scenarios, so the board sees a credible worst case rather than a single number that assumes everything goes right.

Why are site grants missing from most CRO quotes?

Many CRO proposals price only the CRO's own effort and apply a rough multiplier for sites, or leave site grants and pass-through costs to be surfaced during execution. A defensible forecast itemises country-specific site tariffs and every pass-through line from the start, so the number you approve is the number you pay.

What is a Swift, Base and Conservative scenario?

They are three parallel views of the same trial. Swift is a lean, registry-led design at a low site-cost assumption for a budget-constrained minimum viable study; Base is the most realistic full-scope forecast at median site rates; Conservative uses higher site rates, intensive monitoring and full HTA and payer work to give the board a credible worst-case risk envelope.

How does Eclevar forecast trial cost?

Eclevar parses your PMCF plan or synopsis, then produces parallel cost, site and recruitment forecasts from benchmarked European rate cards and hospital tariffs built on seven years of delivery data. A former Notified Body reviewer checks the design's defensibility and a head of clinical operations pressure-tests site and recruitment realism, so the estimate is both financially and regulatorily sound. See how we deliver as a specialist medical device CRO.

Guaranteed response within 24 hours

Know the number before you commit.

Send us your PMCF plan or synopsis and get a forecast of cost, sites and recruitment, in Swift, Base and Conservative scenarios, before your first feasibility round.

Get a trial cost forecast

Reforming Clinical Evaluation of Medical Devices in Europe